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NPK nad NK fertilizers in the Russian Federation, the EAEU countries and the world: Production, Market and Forecast
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This report is currently available in Russian language only. However, we can provide an English version of the report within 3 weeks after receiving a payment.
This report is the first edition of a study of the market for complex NPK fertilizers in the countries of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU).
The purpose of the study is to analyze the NPK fertilizer market in Russia, the EAEU countries (which, in addition to the Russian Federation, include the Republic of Armenia, the Republic of Belarus, the Republic of Kazakhstan and the Kyrgyz Republic), as well as the world market.
The object of research are complex NPK, as well as NK fertilizers, the production of which is carried out by chemical decomposition of natural phosphates, as well as by the method of steam granulation.
At the same time, the study does not consider water-soluble NPK fertilizers (in particular, produced by EuroChem-BMU LLC), as well as products obtained by dry mixing (i.e. fertilizer mixtures), as well as in accordance with compaction technology.
This work is a desk study. As sources of information, data from the statistical committees of the EAEU countries (including Rosstat, the National Statistical Committee of the Republic of Belarus, the Bureau of National Statistics of the Agency for Strategic Planning and Reforms of the Republic of Kazakhstan), the Federal Customs Service (FCS) of the Russian Federation, industry and regional press, annual and quarterly reports of securities issuers, VLSI, websites of NPK fertilizer producers and consumers. The UN Comtrade and Trade Map data were also involved; Infomine database was used.
Chronological scope of the study: 2018-2022; forecast - 2023-2030
Research geography: countries of the Eurasian Economic Union, including the Russian Federation, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Armenia.
The report consists of 7 parts, contains 104 pages, including 28 figures, 43 tables and 2 appendices.
The first chapter is devoted to the global market of NPK fertilizers. The section provides data on capacities, international trade of the product category under consideration and its selling prices, consumption and prospects for the development of the global market for complex fertilizers.
The second chapter provides information on the technologies used in industry for the production of NPK fertilizers and the main types of raw materials for their production (natural gas and ammonia, apatite and phosphorite concentrates, potassium chloride).
The third chapter is devoted to the analysis of the production of NPK fertilizers. It presents the requirements for the quality of manufactured products, traces the dynamics of its production and provides data on production volumes in 2018-2022, describes the leading producers of three-component fertilizers in the EAEU and their current state.
The fourth chapter analyzes foreign trade operations with NPK fertilizers in Russia and the EAEU countries in the period 2018-2022. Data on the volumes of exports and imports of certain types (brands) of the products under study are presented, the geographical structure of supplies is presented, and information on individual exporters and importers of complex fertilizers is analyzed.
The fifth chapter provides information on the level of prices for NPK fertilizers in the domestic market of the Russian Federation, and also analyzes data on changes in export-import prices for products in 2018-2022.
The sixth chapter is devoted to the consumption of NPK fertilizers in Russia and other EAEU countries. This section presents the production-consumption balance of the studied products, assesses the geographical structure of its supplies to the domestic market of the Russian Federation, presents the main suppliers and describes the distribution networks formed by them, through which fertilizers are sold to domestic buyers.
The seventh and final chapter is devoted to the forecast for the consumption of NPK fertilizers in the Russian Federation for the period up to 2030.
The appendices contain contact information on the main producers of NPK fertilizers in the EAEU countries, as well as the sales and distribution structures of the largest Russian companies selling this type of product.
Target audience of the study:
– participants in the market of NPK fertilizers and raw materials for the production of this type of product;
- Potential investors.
The proposed study claims to be a reference tool for marketing services and management decision-makers working in the mineral fertilizer market.
ANNOTATION
INTRODUCTION
I. Brief description of the world market of NPK fertilizers
I.1. NPK fertilizer production capacity
I.2. International trade and consumption of NPK fertilizers in the world
I.3. Overview of world prices for NPK fertilizers
II. NPK fertilizer production technology and raw materials used in industry
II.1. Production technology of NPK fertilizers
II.2. Range of produced NPK fertilizers
II.3. Capacities for the production of NPK fertilizers in the EAEU
II.4. Main suppliers of raw materials
II.4.1. Main suppliers of natural gas
II.4.2. Main suppliers of phosphate raw materials
II.4.3. The main suppliers of potassium chloride
III. Production of NPK fertilizers in Russia and EAEU countries in 2018-2022
III.1. Product quality
III.2. Volume of production of NPK fertilizers in the EAEU countries
III.2.1. Production of NPK fertilizers in Russia
III.2.2. Production of NPK fertilizers in Belarus
III.3. The current state of the largest producers of NPK fertilizers
III.3.1. JSC "Apatit" (Cherepovets, Vologda region)
III.3.2. PJSC Acron (Veliky Novgorod, Novgorod Region)
III.3.3. Minudobreniya JSC (Rossosh, Voronezh region)
IV. Export and import of NPK fertilizers in Russia and the EAEU in 2018-2022
IV.1. Balance of exports and imports of NPK fertilizers of the Russian Federation
IV.1.1. Export of NPK fertilizers by Russia in 2018-2022
IV.1.2. Russian NPK imports in 2018-2022
IV.2. Balance of export and import of NPK fertilizers of the Republic of Belarus
IV.2.1. Export of NPK fertilizers by Belarus in 2018-2022
IV.2.2. Imports of NPK fertilizers of the Republic of Belarus in 2018-2022
IV.3. Export and import of NPK fertilizers by the Republic of Kazakhstan
IV.4. Export and import of NPK fertilizers by the Kyrgyz Republic
IV.5. Export and import of NPK fertilizers by the Republic of Armenia
IV.6. Balance of exports and imports of NPK fertilizers of the EAEU in 2018-2022
V. Overview of prices for NPK fertilizers in Russia
V.1. Domestic prices for NPK fertilizers in Russia
V.2. Dynamics of export-import prices
VI. Consumption of NPK fertilizers in Russia and EAEU countries in 2018-2022
VI.1. Balance of consumption of NPK fertilizers in the EAEU
VI.2. Balance of consumption of NPK fertilizers in Russia
VI.3. Structure of supplies of NPK fertilizers to the market of the Russian Federation
VI.4. Distribution system of leading Russian manufacturers of NPK fertilizers
VI.4.1. OOO PhosAgro-Region (PhosAgro Group)
VI.4.2. JSC Agronova (Akron Group)
VII. Forecast of consumption of NPK fertilizers in Russia for the period up to 2030
Appendix 1: Addresses and phone numbers of NPK fertilizer producers in the EAEU countries
Appendix 2: Contact information of sales structures of Russian holdings-producers engaged in the sale and distribution of NPK fertilizers on the Russian market
Table 1. NPK fertilizer production capacities of Yara International, million tons/year
Table 2. Main types of NPK fertilizers and conditions for their use
Table 3. Capacities and technology for the production of NPK fertilizers at the enterprises of the EAEU
Table 4. Ammonia production capacities of Russian producers of NPK fertilizers and their raw material supply in 2022
Table 5. Type and volume of supplies of phosphate raw materials to enterprises producing NPK fertilizers in the EAEU countries in 2022
Table 6. Volumes of supplies of potassium chloride to Russian enterprises producing NPK fertilizers in 2022
Table 7. Standards for the production of NPK fertilizers and manufactured product brands in the EAEU countries
Table 8. Production of NPK fertilizers in Russia in 2018-2022, thousand tons
Table 9. Production of the main types of complex and complex fertilizers by Apatit JSC in 2018-2022, million tons
Table 10. Financial performance of JSC Apatit in 2017-2021, billion rubles
Table 11. Production capacities of PJSC Acron as of 2022, mln t/year
Table 12. Production of main types of raw materials and mineral fertilizers by Acron PJSC in 2018-2022, mmt
Table 13. Financial performance of PJSC Acron in 2017-2022, RUB bn
Table 14. Capacities and production of ammonia and mineral fertilizers by JSC Acron in 2018-2022, mmt
Table 15. Financial performance of Minudobreniya JSC in 2016-2020, billion rubles
Table 16. Balance of exports and imports of NPK fertilizers of the Russian Federation in 2018-2022, thousand tons
Table 17. Importing countries of NPK fertilizers from the Russian Federation in 2018-2022, thousand tons, $ mln
Table 18. Importing countries of NK fertilizers from the Russian Federation in 2018-2022, thousand tons, million $
Table 19. Distribution of volumes of non-tariff quotas for NPK fertilizers exported outside the Russian Federation to states that are not members of the EAEU between participants in foreign trade activities for the period from December 1, 2021 to May 31, 2022
Table 20. Export of NPK and NK fertilizers of the Russian Federation in 2022 by holdings and manufacturing plants, thousand tons
Table 21. Countries-suppliers of NPK fertilizers in the Russian Federation in 2018-2022, thousand tons, million $
Table 22. Manufacturers of NPK fertilizers supplied to the Russian Federation in the largest volumes in 2018-2022, thousand tons
Table 23. Largest Russian buyers of foreign-made NPK fertilizers (excluding products of JSC Gomel Chemical Plant) in 2018-2022, thousand tons
Table 24. Balance of exports and imports of NPK fertilizers of the Republic of Belarus in 2018-2022, thousand tons
Table 25. Importing countries of NPK fertilizers from Belarus in 2018-2022, thousand tons, $ mln
Table 26. Exporting countries of NPK fertilizers to Belarus in 2018-2022, thousand tons, million $
Table 27. Exporting countries of NPK fertilizers to Kazakhstan in 2018-2022, thousand tons, million $
Table 28. Importing countries of NPK fertilizers from Kazakhstan in 2018-2022, thousand tons, million $
Table 29. Exporting countries of NPK fertilizers to Kyrgyzstan in 2018-2022, thousand tons, mln $
Table 30. Importing countries of NPK fertilizers from Kyrgyzstan in 2018-2022, thousand tons, mln $
Table 31. Exporting countries of NPK fertilizers to Armenia in 2018-2022, thousand tons, mln $
Table 32. Export of NPK fertilizers by the EAEU countries in 2018-2022, thousand tons
Table 33. Imports of NPK fertilizers to the EAEU countries in 2018-2022, thousand tons
Table 33. Marginal prices for NPK fertilizers declared by manufacturers when selling products to the domestic market of the Russian Federation, rub/t (excluding VAT and distributors' margins, in bulk, on an ex works basis) as of the beginning of 2023
Table 35. Average annual export prices of various grades of NPK and NK fertilizers from the Russian Federation outside the EAEU in 2018-2022, $/t
Table 36. Average annual export prices of NPK fertilizers of the Russian Federation by largest countries of destination in 2018-2022, $/t
Table 37. Average annual export prices of NK fertilizers of the Russian Federation by largest countries of destination in 2018-2022, $/t
Table 38. Average annual purchase prices of NPK fertilizers supplied to the Russian Federation in the largest volumes from outside the EAEU in 2018-2022, $/t
Table 39. Consumption of NPK fertilizers in the EAEU in 2018-2022, thousand tons
Table 40. Consumption of NPK fertilizers in Russia in 2018-2022, thousand tons
Table 41. Structure and geographical presence of divisions of PhosAgro-Region LLC
Table 42. Structure and geographical presence of subdivisions of JSC Agronova
Table 43. Forecast of consumption of NPK fertilizers in Russia for the period up to 2030, million tons
Figure 1. Dynamics of capacities for the production of NPK fertilizers in the world in 2016-2022, million tons
Figure 2. Geographic structure of distribution of NPK production capacities by regions of the world, %
Figure 3. Capacities of the world's largest companies producing NPK fertilizers, mt
Figure 4. Dynamics of imports of NPK fertilizers in the world in 2010-2022, million tons, billion $
Figure 5. Regional structure of global imports of NPK fertilizers in 2022, %
Figure 6. The share of Russian exports in the structure of international trade in NPK fertilizers in 2010-2022, %
Figure 7. Dynamics of average annual prices for NPK 16:16:16 (FOB Baltic/Black Sea) in 2010-2022, $/t
Figure 8. Typical technological schemes for the production of NPK fertilizers
Figure 9. Distribution structure of capacities for the production of NPK fertilizers in the EAEU by production technology, %
Figure 10. Dynamics of NPK fertilizer production in Russia in 2018-2022, million tons
Figure 11. Structure of NPK fertilizer production in Russia in 2022 by type of product, % of physical weight
Figure 12. Dynamics of NPK fertilizer production in Belarus in 2018-2022, million tons
Figure 13. Geographic structure of supplies of NPK fertilizers produced by Apatit JSC in 2022, %
Figure 14. Geographic structure of supplies of NPK fertilizers produced by PJSC Acron in 2022, %
Figure 15. Dynamics of foreign trade volumes of NPK fertilizers of the Russian Federation in 2012-2022, thousand tons
Figure 16. Dynamics of exports of NPK and NK fertilizers of the Russian Federation in 2018-2022, thousand tons, million $
Figure 17. Geographic structure of exports of NPK and NK fertilizers of the Russian Federation in 2022, %
Figure 18. The structure of exports of NPK and NK fertilizers of the Russian Federation by product brands in 2022, %
Figure 19. Dynamics of imports of NPK fertilizers of the Russian Federation in 2018-2022, thousand tons, million $
Figure 20. Dynamics of exports of NPK fertilizers of the Republic of Belarus in 2010-2022, thousand tons
Figure 21. Dynamics of average producer prices for certain types of NPK fertilizers sold on the domestic market of the Russian Federation in 2009-2022, rub/t (without VAT)
Figure 22. Dynamics of monthly average producer prices for nitroammophoska sold on the domestic market of the Russian Federation in 2021-2022, rub/t (without VAT)
Figure 23. Dynamics of average producer prices for certain types of NPK fertilizers exported by the Russian Federation in 2017-2023, rub/t (without VAT)
Figure 24. Average import prices of the Russian Federation for certain brands of NPK fertilizers produced by JSC Gomel Chemical Plant in 2022, $/t
Figure 25. Geographic structure of NPK fertilizer consumption by EAEU countries in 2022, %
Figure 26. Structure of supplies of NPK fertilizers to the domestic market of the Russian Federation in 2022 by manufacturing holdings, %
Figure 27. Dynamics of the production of mineral fertilizers in the Russian Federation and the share of NPK fertilizers in 2018-2022, thousand tons, %
Figure 28. Geographic structure of NPK fertilizer supplies to the Russian domestic market in 2022 by federal districts, %